"Inflation is the overall or specific increase in the cost of a good or service."
Inflation is when your mom or dad complains about the prices they have to pay nowadays compared to what they paid when they were a younger.
"I remember when a candy bar only cost a nickel."
"I used to buy gas at that station for 15¢ a gallon."
"When did milk get so expensive?"
"You paid HOW much for your home?
"Inflation in America has been relatively steady. There have been some periods of high inflation, such as was seen in the 70's, but on average inflation in the US has been steady at about 3% for the past 30 years. Some countries have experienced inflation above 1000% in a single year.
The 3% figure is also pretty close to the average as you go further back in US history. So we will use the 3% figure as we discuss the effects of inflation.
A detailed analysis of the cause of inflation is beyond the scope of this short article, but we can mention some things that tend to cause inflation.
Increases in government taxes and fees can lead to inflation (especially when businesses are taxed). When the cost of business goes up, product prices go up.
When prices go up your income effectively goes down. Then you have to work harder or find a better job. Or hope that your employer will give you a raise.Which then makes the business costs go up and so prices go up and so on.
Also when your personal income taxes, property taxes, sales taxes, auto registration fees, etc. increase you are forced to live on less or hit the boss up for a raise.
If you get your raise (and several of your co-workers also are given raises) the cost of doing business has gone up. The business will then pass the extra costs on to their customers - inflation.
Inflation can also be caused by scarcity. If there are only a 10,000 Beanie-Babies, "Tickle-Me-Elmos", "Chicken-Dance-Elmos", or what ever the current toy-craze is, and there are 100,000 people that want one, the price is going to go up.If mad-cow disease causes cattle ranchers to destroy large portions of their herds and there is less beef on the market, the price of beef will go up.If interest rates go up, inflation can also result. If it costs more to borrow money, the cost of doing business has gone up and so will product and service prices.For the last 10 years inflation has been relatively low.
It is my uneducated opinion that inflation has been minimal because people have relied on the stock market boom of the 90s to supply extra cash. Also many people have taken on additional debt rather than curtail their spending. But people can only stand so much debt.
So what can you do about inflation? Really nothing. It is out of your hands. But when planning for the future you can include it in your calculations. If you want to live on the equivalent of $2778 a month when you retire 30 years from now, you need to plan to save/accumulate $1.8 million and have it invested at 5% after you retire and want it to last 30 years.
That means that if you are earning 11% (as the stock market has averaged for the last 30 years) and you are 30 now, you will have to invest $500 each month to achieve this goal. If you only invest $100 a month you will need an average return of 18.4%. (If you can average that, you should be managing the world's money!)
A good financial planner will understand the effects of inflation and help you plan for them. But I suspect that some less-trained "planners" (who are probably more like salespeople in a financial planner suit) tend to "forget", ignore or don't understand in the first place the effects of inflation.Leaving it out of the plan makes the calculations easier and may even help them get more "sales" because you are not discouraged by the truth. And their "product" (investment) may not seem as inadequate as it may really be.
Another quick way to account for the effect of inflation is to subtract the inflation rate from any rate of interest you will be receiving on an investment. So if you are going to assume a 3% inflation rate and the assumed rate of return is 11%, do the projection with only a 8% rate of return or interest.This will give you a more accurate picture of the value (not the amount) of the investment at its maturity.
Some investments such as real estate and precious metals (gold, silver, etc.) actually benefit from inflation. This may make you want to truly "diversify" your portfolio into more types of assets, not just more types of stock. Inflation does not have to be scary as long as you understand how it works and how it affects your future money values. Accounting for it in financial equations and projections can be done simply. But overlooking it or downplaying its effects can cause you to miss your financial goals by a wide
